Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.004160 0.004566 0.005002 0.005507 0.006077 0.006703 0.007443
2025-08-31 0.003390 0.003933 0.004558 0.005337 0.006290 0.007425 0.008896
2025-09-07 0.003008 0.003619 0.004356 0.005320 0.006566 0.008142 0.010323
2025-09-14 0.002813 0.003487 0.004332 0.005485 0.007048 0.009132 0.012194
2025-09-21 0.002556 0.003242 0.004128 0.005379 0.007140 0.009591 0.013375
2025-09-28 0.002347 0.003036 0.003950 0.005278 0.007211 0.010007 0.014525
2025-10-05 0.002203 0.002904 0.003854 0.005275 0.007410 0.010616 0.016036
2025-10-12 0.002113 0.002835 0.003837 0.005376 0.007766 0.011490 0.018084
2025-10-19 0.001983 0.002699 0.003713 0.005304 0.007842 0.011926 0.019446
2025-10-26 0.001883 0.002599 0.003631 0.005287 0.007997 0.012498 0.021123
2025-11-02 0.001777 0.002482 0.003515 0.005205 0.008036 0.012871 0.022480
2025-11-09 0.001714 0.002425 0.003485 0.005255 0.008296 0.013654 0.024741
2025-11-16 0.001629 0.002332 0.003397 0.005211 0.008402 0.014194 0.026657
2025-11-23 0.001525 0.002205 0.003249 0.005054 0.008298 0.014335 0.027778
2025-11-30 0.001460 0.002135 0.003186 0.005038 0.008443 0.014968 0.030084
2025-12-07 0.001435 0.002126 0.003221 0.005192 0.008917 0.016311 0.034292
2025-12-14 0.001363 0.002037 0.003118 0.005093 0.008897 0.016636 0.036115
2025-12-21 0.001298 0.001955 0.003022 0.004999 0.008875 0.016952 0.037979
2025-12-28 0.001253 0.001906 0.002978 0.004996 0.009036 0.017684 0.041097
2026-01-04 0.001228 0.001887 0.002986 0.005091 0.009404 0.018932 0.045932
2026-01-11 0.001179 0.001824 0.002912 0.005023 0.009426 0.019380 0.048573
2026-01-18 0.001140 0.001779 0.002866 0.005007 0.009554 0.020096 0.052206
2026-01-25 0.001095 0.001719 0.002793 0.004930 0.009543 0.020469 0.054855